Imt Novi Beograd vs Novi Pazar Prediction & Betting Tips

Serbian Super Liga · Serbia 2025 · Sunday, 7 December 2025 · Regular Season - 18

Serbian Super Liga

Serbia

Serbian Super Liga

Upcoming
Imt Novi Beograd logo

Imt Novi Beograd

vs

14:00 UTC

Novi Pazar logo

Novi Pazar

OVEROver/Under 2.5 Goals

+12.74%

Expected Value

Model: 54% · Market implied: 48%

Recommended bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Unibet

2.08

Implied probability

48%

Model probability54%
Market implied probability48%

BetSpark Verdict

BetSpark rates Over 2.5 Goals as a value opportunity in this Serbian Super Liga match. Our machine learning model estimates a probability of 54% for this outcome, while the market implies only 48%. This is a strong value signal according to the BetSpark model.

Available odds

Unibet
margin 12.7%2.08
Betfair
margin 8.4%2.00
SBO
margin 7.3%1.98
Pinnacle
margin 6.2%1.96
Marathonbet
margin 5.7%1.95
Bet365
margin 5.7%1.95
1xBet
margin 5.7%1.95
10Bet
margin 4.6%1.93
Betano
margin 4.6%1.93
188Bet
margin 3.5%1.91

Odds are indicative and updated periodically. Always check the latest odds on your bookmaker.

How BetSpark identifies value bets

BetSpark uses machine learning models trained on historical match data to estimate the true probability of outcomes in football matches. When our model probability exceeds the market implied probability, the bet carries positive expected value — meaning it is statistically underpriced by the bookmaker.

Expected value is calculated as EV = (model probability × decimal odds) − 1. A positive EV indicates a long-run profitable bet. The BetSpark app shows Kelly-optimal stake sizing to manage bankroll risk.

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