Modena vs Juve Stabia Prediction & Betting Tips

Italian Serie B · Italy 2025 · Tuesday, 12 May 2026 · Quarter-finals · Stadio Alberto Braglia

Italian Serie B

Italy

Italian Serie B

Upcoming
Modena logo

Modena

vs

16:45 UTC

Juve Stabia logo

Juve Stabia

OVEROver/Under 2.5 Goals

+37.80%

Expected Value

Model: 58% · Market implied: 42%

Recommended bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Betfair

2.38

Implied probability

42%

Model probability58%
Market implied probability42%

BetSpark Verdict

BetSpark rates Over 2.5 Goals as a value opportunity in this Italian Serie B match. Our machine learning model estimates a probability of 58% for this outcome, while the market implies only 42%. This is a strong value signal according to the BetSpark model.

Available odds

Betfair
margin 37.8%2.38
Pinnacle
margin 37.8%2.38
Betano
margin 36.1%2.35
888Sport
margin 33.2%2.30
SBO
margin 30.9%2.26
10Bet
margin 30.3%2.25
Bet365
margin 30.3%2.25
Marathonbet
margin 28.5%2.22
1xBet
margin 28.5%2.22
Unibet
margin 26.2%2.18
BetVictor
margin 23.9%2.14

Odds are indicative and updated periodically. Always check the latest odds on your bookmaker.

How BetSpark identifies value bets

BetSpark uses machine learning models trained on historical match data to estimate the true probability of outcomes in football matches. When our model probability exceeds the market implied probability, the bet carries positive expected value — meaning it is statistically underpriced by the bookmaker.

Expected value is calculated as EV = (model probability × decimal odds) − 1. A positive EV indicates a long-run profitable bet. The BetSpark app shows Kelly-optimal stake sizing to manage bankroll risk.

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