Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

English Premier League · England 2025 · Monday, 11 May 2026 · Regular Season - 36 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

English Premier League

England

English Premier League

Upcoming
Tottenham logo

Tottenham

vs

19:00 UTC

Leeds logo

Leeds

OVEROver/Under 2.5 Goals

+31.35%

Expected Value

Model: 70% · Market implied: 53%

Recommended bet

Over 2.5 Goals

1xBet

1.89

Implied probability

53%

Model probability70%
Market implied probability53%

BetSpark Verdict

BetSpark rates Over 2.5 Goals as a value opportunity in this English Premier League match. Our machine learning model estimates a probability of 70% for this outcome, while the market implies only 53%. This is a strong value signal according to the BetSpark model.

Available odds

1xBet
margin 31.4%1.89
Pinnacle
margin 30.7%1.88
SBO
margin 30.0%1.87
Betano
margin 28.6%1.85
Marathonbet
margin 27.2%1.83
10Bet
margin 25.1%1.80
Betfair
margin 25.1%1.80
Bet365
margin 25.1%1.80
BetVictor
margin 23.0%1.77
888Sport
margin 21.6%1.75
Unibet
margin 18.8%1.71

Odds are indicative and updated periodically. Always check the latest odds on your bookmaker.

How BetSpark identifies value bets

BetSpark uses machine learning models trained on historical match data to estimate the true probability of outcomes in football matches. When our model probability exceeds the market implied probability, the bet carries positive expected value — meaning it is statistically underpriced by the bookmaker.

Expected value is calculated as EV = (model probability × decimal odds) − 1. A positive EV indicates a long-run profitable bet. The BetSpark app shows Kelly-optimal stake sizing to manage bankroll risk.

Bet Like An Investor

Daily value picks, live odds across 14+ bookmakers, Kelly stake calculator, and bankroll tracking — free to get started.