Tottenham vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips

English Premier League · England 2025 · Tuesday, 10 February 2026 · Regular Season - 26 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

English Premier League

England

English Premier League

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Tottenham logo

Tottenham

vs

19:30 UTC

Newcastle logo

Newcastle

OVEROver/Under 2.5 Goals

+15.11%

Expected Value

Model: 63% · Market implied: 55%

Recommended bet

Over 2.5 Goals

1xBet

1.83

Implied probability

55%

Model probability63%
Market implied probability55%

BetSpark Verdict

BetSpark rates Over 2.5 Goals as a value opportunity in this English Premier League match. Our machine learning model estimates a probability of 63% for this outcome, while the market implies only 55%. This is a strong value signal according to the BetSpark model.

Available odds

1xBet
margin 15.1%1.83
Pinnacle
margin 12.6%1.79
Betano
margin 12.0%1.78
Marathonbet
margin 11.3%1.77
SBO
margin 10.7%1.76
10Bet
margin 10.1%1.75
Betfair
margin 10.1%1.75
Superbet
margin 10.1%1.75
Bet365
margin 8.8%1.73
888Sport
margin 8.8%1.73
Unibet
margin 6.9%1.70

Odds are indicative and updated periodically. Always check the latest odds on your bookmaker.

How BetSpark identifies value bets

BetSpark uses machine learning models trained on historical match data to estimate the true probability of outcomes in football matches. When our model probability exceeds the market implied probability, the bet carries positive expected value — meaning it is statistically underpriced by the bookmaker.

Expected value is calculated as EV = (model probability × decimal odds) − 1. A positive EV indicates a long-run profitable bet. The BetSpark app shows Kelly-optimal stake sizing to manage bankroll risk.

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